“And black, earth’s blood Promises us, inflating the veins, Destroying all borders, Unprecedented changes, Unprecedented riots…” Alexander Blok “Retribution”, 1911. - writes Prof Sergei Karaganov in RIAC. Professor Emeritus National Research University–Higher School of Economics, Moscow, Russia, Faculty of World Economy and International Affairs. I begin this article with the words of my best-loved Russian poet Alexander Blok, who is comparable in his gift of clairvoyance to the greatest Russian genius Fyodor Dostoevsky. I have long been watching the world inexorably moving towards a wave of military conflicts threatening to develop into a third world thermonuclear war that can in all likelihood destroy human civilization. This prognosis was one of the main reasons why I published a series of articles about why it is necessary to restore the credibility of nuclear deterrence, which kept the world safe for more than fifty years. Many structural factors indicate an extremely high probab...
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